TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Irem Kurt in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kseniia Ruchkina' if Kseniia Ruchkina advances against Irem Kurt. This market will resolve to 'Irem Kurt' if Irem Kurt advances against Kseniia Ruchkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Irem Kurt in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kseniia Ruchkina' if Kseniia Ruchkina advances against Irem Kurt. This market will resolve to 'Irem Kurt' if Irem Kurt advances against Kseniia Ruchkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance betting action, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify mispricings between the two, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Kseniia Ruchkina and Irem Kurt, as published by the official tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause price fluctuations, as the market reacts to new information and changing perceptions of the players’ chances of winning the Monastir tennis match.