TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Lorrimer and Zi Ying Ruan in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Lorrimer' if Kayla Lorrimer advances against Zi Ying Ruan. This market will resolve to 'Zi Ying Ruan' if Zi Ying Ruan advances against Kayla Lorrimer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Lorrimer and Zi Ying Ruan in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Lorrimer' if Kayla Lorrimer advances against Zi Ying Ruan. This market will resolve to 'Zi Ying Ruan' if Zi Ying Ruan advances against Kayla Lorrimer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by supply and demand as traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the match’s outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Examining these differences can be valuable for identifying potential opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures the market price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kayla Lorrimer versus Zi Ying Ruan tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the match results against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also impact perceptions of their overall ability. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting markets or expert analysis, could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.