TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta and Miroslava Medvedeva in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta' if Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta and Miroslava Medvedeva in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta' if Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in the sportsbook lines. It’s worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective forecast of all traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived directly from the share price.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta and Miroslava Medvedeva, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also drive trading volume and shift the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations, so monitoring the order book can provide valuable insights.