TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Riko Kikawada in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Riko Kikawada. This market will resolve to 'Riko Kikawada' if Riko Kikawada advances against Haruna Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Riko Kikawada in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Riko Kikawada. This market will resolve to 'Riko Kikawada' if Riko Kikawada advances against Haruna Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market's depth—the number of shares available at different price points—indicates the level of confidence and potential for price movement.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Riko Kikawada. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on widely available and trusted sources that report the final match results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Haruna Arakawa or Riko Kikawada, or changes in playing conditions (like weather) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the W15 Monastir tournament could also affect perceptions of player momentum. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to price adjustments in this market.