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$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emna Mathlouthi and Yiru Chen in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emna Mathlouthi' if Emna Mathlouthi advances against Yiru Chen. This market will resolve to 'Yiru Chen' if Yiru Chen advances against Emna Mathlouthi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emna Mathlouthi and Yiru Chen in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emna Mathlouthi' if Emna Mathlouthi advances against Yiru Chen. This market will resolve to 'Yiru Chen' if Yiru Chen advances against Emna Mathlouthi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it might indicate that the crowd believes there’s an edge to be exploited, or that the sportsbook has mispriced the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Emna Mathlouthi and Yiru Chen. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 9, 2026.