TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliz Maloney and Ellie Daniels in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliz Maloney' if Eliz Maloney advances against Ellie Daniels. This market will resolve to 'Ellie Daniels' if Ellie Daniels advances against Eliz Maloney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliz Maloney and Ellie Daniels in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliz Maloney' if Eliz Maloney advances against Ellie Daniels. This market will resolve to 'Ellie Daniels' if Ellie Daniels advances against Eliz Maloney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information sets and market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maloney vs Daniels match. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the match's result. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir match between Eliz Maloney and Ellie Daniels, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome shares, reflecting the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, could also cause movement. Public sentiment and social media discussions can sometimes play a role, as can large trades from individual participants. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 2, 2026 resolution of the Maloney vs Daniels match.