TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Torbica and Ria Ferguson in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Torbica' if Elena Torbica advances against Ria Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Ria Ferguson' if Ria Ferguson advances against Elena Torbica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Torbica and Ria Ferguson in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Torbica' if Elena Torbica advances against Ria Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Ria Ferguson' if Ria Ferguson advances against Elena Torbica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the ratio of share prices between the different possibilities within this market. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Elena Torbica and Ria Ferguson, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even general shifts in public sentiment, can also impact trading behavior. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders could cause noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts for movement in this market.