TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Torbica and Emira Diabate in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Torbica' if Elena Torbica advances against Emira Diabate. This market will resolve to 'Emira Diabate' if Emira Diabate advances against Elena Torbica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Torbica and Emira Diabate in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Torbica' if Elena Torbica advances against Emira Diabate. This market will resolve to 'Emira Diabate' if Emira Diabate advances against Elena Torbica. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to each group, or differing interpretations of the same information. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential results of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Elena Torbica and Emira Diabate. The platform will verify the match result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning player. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match according to the official tournament results. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once resolution is complete.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in conviction among market participants. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move the market, reflecting the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the continuous flow of new data.