TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Clarissa Blomqvist and Natsuho Arakawa in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clarissa Blomqvist' if Clarissa Blomqvist advances against Natsuho Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Clarissa Blomqvist. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Clarissa Blomqvist and Natsuho Arakawa in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clarissa Blomqvist' if Clarissa Blomqvist advances against Natsuho Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Clarissa Blomqvist. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Clarissa Blomqvist and Natsuho Arakawa. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results. The final price of the shares will reflect the actual outcome, paying out 1 USDC per share for the winning outcome and 0 USDC for the losing outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting markets or expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Even seemingly minor updates, like weather forecasts affecting court conditions, can contribute to changes in the market’s assessment of the likely winner of the Monastir tennis match.