TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolyn Ansari and Luisa Schruff in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolyn Ansari' if Carolyn Ansari advances against Luisa Schruff. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Schruff' if Luisa Schruff advances against Carolyn Ansari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolyn Ansari and Luisa Schruff in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolyn Ansari' if Carolyn Ansari advances against Luisa Schruff. This market will resolve to 'Luisa Schruff' if Luisa Schruff advances against Carolyn Ansari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market relies on participants directly forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ chances. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by exploiting the price differences between this market and traditional sports betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that result. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Carolyn Ansari versus Luisa Schruff match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner against trusted sources to determine the winning share. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also trigger price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also influence trader behavior. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match is likely to increase confidence and drive up the price of shares representing their victory.