TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Kristina Belkova in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Vagramov' if Alexandra Vagramov advances against Kristina Belkova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Belkova' if Kristina Belkova advances against Alexandra Vagramov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Kristina Belkova in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Vagramov' if Alexandra Vagramov advances against Kristina Belkova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Belkova' if Kristina Belkova advances against Alexandra Vagramov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market odds will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on a market like this one, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share (Vagramov wins) indicates the market’s estimated chance of that outcome occurring, while the price of a 'no' share (Belkova wins) reflects the probability of the alternative. The market is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Kristina Belkova. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the official winner of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for either Alexandra Vagramov or Kristina Belkova, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Monastir that might affect playing conditions could also be a catalyst. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders, or even significant media coverage of the match, could all contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.