TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zijun Jiang and Anna Kubareva in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zijun Jiang' if Zijun Jiang advances against Anna Kubareva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kubareva' if Anna Kubareva advances against Zijun Jiang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zijun Jiang and Anna Kubareva in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zijun Jiang' if Zijun Jiang advances against Anna Kubareva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kubareva' if Anna Kubareva advances against Zijun Jiang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly assessing probabilities. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about player form, potential injuries, or other factors influencing the match. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Jiang vs Kubareva match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between Zijun Jiang and Anna Kubareva. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available scores and official tournament results. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers and reported by recognized sports news sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on recent performance could shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching decisions might also trigger movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity—a large volume of shares traded in one direction—could also cause the odds to adjust. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s resolution.