TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 1:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Wang and Yingqun Sun in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Yingqun Sun. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Yuhan Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Wang and Yingqun Sun in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Yingqun Sun. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Yuhan Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of public opinion on this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Yuhan Wang and Yingqun Sun, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player, as determined by the official score, will be the outcome that determines the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to view the confirmed result on Polymarket following the completion of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or any updates on the players’ recent performance could all impact traders’ beliefs and lead to shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader tennis news, could also play a role. Significant trading volume from informed participants could also signal a change in market sentiment and cause the price to move, reflecting new information or analysis.