TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 4:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Wang and Mariya Zharkikh in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Mariya Zharkikh. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Yuhan Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuhan Wang and Mariya Zharkikh in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Mariya Zharkikh. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Yuhan Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability associated with it rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Yuhan Wang and Mariya Zharkikh, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. The final result will determine which shares pay out.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting play, or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the market's probabilities.