TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Yingqun Sun and Junlu Sun in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Junlu Sun. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Yingqun Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yingqun Sun and Junlu Sun in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Junlu Sun. This market will resolve to 'Junlu Sun' if Junlu Sun advances against Yingqun Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view through trading activity on Polymarket. This can lead to price differences, potentially offering opportunities for arbitrage or identifying undervalued outcomes. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between Yingqun Sun and Junlu Sun. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis betting or significant wagers placed on Polymarket could impact the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements before the market resolves.