TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 10:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Xue and Kanna Soeda in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Ying Xue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Xue and Kanna Soeda in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Ying Xue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders' beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ying Xue vs Kanna Soeda match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation for the match's result, and any significant price movements suggest a shift in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ying Xue vs Kanna Soeda match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a fair and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, potentially leading to rapid price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is reacting to new information and predicting the eventual outcome.