TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between YiHan Li and Ha Yoon Son in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Ha Yoon Son. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against YiHan Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between YiHan Li and Ha Yoon Son in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Ha Yoon Son. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against YiHan Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that the probabilities implied by the odds here differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true likelihood of each result. It’s a useful comparison to consider when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This dynamic process creates a market-driven probability assessment, constantly updated as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between YiHan Li and Ha Yoon Son. The platform will rely on established sports data sources to determine the winner, and the shares will be settled accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury reports, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies, or even weather forecasts affecting the match, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could create short-term volatility, and overall shifts in public opinion regarding the players’ chances of winning will be reflected in the market’s price action.