TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between xu yunzhang and Alisa Piliptsevich in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'xu yunzhang' if xu yunzhang advances against Alisa Piliptsevich. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Piliptsevich' if Alisa Piliptsevich advances against xu yunzhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between xu yunzhang and Alisa Piliptsevich in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'xu yunzhang' if xu yunzhang advances against Alisa Piliptsevich. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Piliptsevich' if Alisa Piliptsevich advances against xu yunzhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants. If significant differences exist, it might suggest that the crowd believes a different outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, or that the market has identified information not yet priced in by bookmakers. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly, reflecting the changing expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between xu yunzhang and Alisa Piliptsevich as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event is unfolding.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, particularly if they represent a significant shift in conviction among market participants. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.