TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 3:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaochuan Nie and Zijun Jiang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Zijun Jiang. This market will resolve to 'Zijun Jiang' if Zijun Jiang advances against Xiaochuan Nie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaochuan Nie and Zijun Jiang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Zijun Jiang. This market will resolve to 'Zijun Jiang' if Zijun Jiang advances against Xiaochuan Nie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Xiaochuan Nie and Zijun Jiang. This includes verifying the winner and ensuring the match was completed according to official tournament rules. The platform will use publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket's market rules.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.