TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Niehua Tian and Yanan Hou in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niehua Tian' if Niehua Tian advances against Yanan Hou. This market will resolve to 'Yanan Hou' if Yanan Hou advances against Niehua Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niehua Tian and Yanan Hou in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niehua Tian' if Niehua Tian advances against Yanan Hou. This market will resolve to 'Yanan Hou' if Yanan Hou advances against Niehua Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions among traders. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Niehua Tian and Yanan Hou. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match according to the tournament organizers and official results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact player performance and therefore market prices. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Finally, any updates from reputable tennis news sources or analysts offering revised predictions could also sway trader sentiment and affect the market.