TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niehua Tian and Qige Yi in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niehua Tian' if Niehua Tian advances against Qige Yi. This market will resolve to 'Qige Yi' if Qige Yi advances against Niehua Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niehua Tian and Qige Yi in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niehua Tian' if Niehua Tian advances against Qige Yi. This market will resolve to 'Qige Yi' if Qige Yi advances against Niehua Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds to converge with their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the players’ chances.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Niehua Tian and Qige Yi, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against credible public sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information is being incorporated into the price, potentially causing significant movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 28, 2026.