TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mingxi Qu and YiHan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mingxi Qu' if Mingxi Qu advances against YiHan Li. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Mingxi Qu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mingxi Qu and YiHan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mingxi Qu' if Mingxi Qu advances against YiHan Li. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Mingxi Qu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies between the two, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Mingxi Qu and YiHan Li, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the factors that will ultimately determine the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or broader shifts in public perception of their abilities, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.