TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 2:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Meng Yi Chen and Ruien Zhang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meng Yi Chen' if Meng Yi Chen advances against Ruien Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Ruien Zhang' if Ruien Zhang advances against Meng Yi Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Meng Yi Chen and Ruien Zhang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meng Yi Chen' if Meng Yi Chen advances against Ruien Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Ruien Zhang' if Ruien Zhang advances against Meng Yi Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of market trading. It's common to see prediction market probabilities shift as new information emerges or as betting action concentrates on a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular player, the price of their shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of winning. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Meng Yi Chen and Ruien Zhang, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning player, allowing for accurate settlement of the market. The outcome will be determined by the official score and result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact trading volume and price movements. Furthermore, large bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could create short-term volatility and potentially signal a shift in market sentiment regarding the Maanshan tennis match.