TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariya Zharkikh and Wei Zheng in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Wei Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Mariya Zharkikh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariya Zharkikh and Wei Zheng in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Wei Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Mariya Zharkikh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a player, they can buy shares, driving up the price and potentially creating a discrepancy. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates diverse opinions and information. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, signaling growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants, offering a real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Mariya Zharkikh and Wei Zheng, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also play a role. Additionally, updates on player form or recent performance in other tournaments might prompt traders to reassess the probabilities, leading to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market sentiment.