TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 3:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariya Zharkikh and Le Yi Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Le Yi Liu. This market will resolve to 'Le Yi Liu' if Le Yi Liu advances against Mariya Zharkikh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariya Zharkikh and Le Yi Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Le Yi Liu. This market will resolve to 'Le Yi Liu' if Le Yi Liu advances against Mariya Zharkikh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to adjustments based on a wider range of factors. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Maanshan tennis match. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Maanshan tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers, confirming which player won the match. The platform will then use this information to settle the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift expectations and impact the odds. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, pre-match interviews, or even social media sentiment could also contribute to price movements. Unexpected weather conditions at the Maanshan venue, or even a significant shift in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids in this market.