TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 2:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junjie Sun and Ha Yoon Son in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against Ha Yoon Son. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Junjie Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junjie Sun and Ha Yoon Son in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against Ha Yoon Son. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Junjie Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maanshan tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for who will win the match between Junjie Sun and Ha Yoon Son.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Junjie Sun and Ha Yoon Son, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their strong conviction about the match’s outcome.