TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Junjie Sun and CHENGEN ZHAO in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against CHENGEN ZHAO. This market will resolve to 'CHENGEN ZHAO' if CHENGEN ZHAO advances against Junjie Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Junjie Sun and CHENGEN ZHAO in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Junjie Sun' if Junjie Sun advances against CHENGEN ZHAO. This market will resolve to 'CHENGEN ZHAO' if CHENGEN ZHAO advances against Junjie Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on public perception, specialized knowledge among traders, or differing risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment surrounding the Sun vs Zhao match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Junjie Sun vs CHENGEN ZHAO match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, updated rankings, or even social media buzz surrounding the players could also contribute to price movements. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament results might also indirectly impact the market, as traders reassess probabilities.