TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Ying Xue in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Ying Xue. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Ying Xue in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Ying Xue. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven purely by what traders are willing to bet. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming. If a large number of people believe one player will win, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly, potentially differing from sportsbook lines that haven't fully adjusted to the same information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving the price up and increased selling pressure driving it down. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiumeng Liu versus Ying Xue match in Maanshan, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and influence the overall price, reflecting new information or a change in perceived probabilities.