TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Phitchayaphak Srimuk in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Phitchayaphak Srimuk. This market will resolve to 'Phitchayaphak Srimuk' if Phitchayaphak Srimuk advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Phitchayaphak Srimuk in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Phitchayaphak Srimuk. This market will resolve to 'Phitchayaphak Srimuk' if Phitchayaphak Srimuk advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if their predicted outcome wins the Jiumeng Liu vs Phitchayaphak Srimuk match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiumeng Liu vs Phitchayaphak Srimuk match as reported by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which player is declared the winner of the match, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market is settled.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on training could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategy could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket can quickly move the market price, especially if they indicate a strong conviction in a particular outcome for the Jiumeng Liu vs Phitchayaphak Srimuk match. Public opinion and expert analysis may also play a role.