TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiayue Pan and Ka Wai Pang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiayue Pan' if Jiayue Pan advances against Ka Wai Pang. This market will resolve to 'Ka Wai Pang' if Ka Wai Pang advances against Jiayue Pan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiayue Pan and Ka Wai Pang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiayue Pan' if Jiayue Pan advances against Ka Wai Pang. This market will resolve to 'Ka Wai Pang' if Ka Wai Pang advances against Jiayue Pan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket, creating a constantly updating forecast for the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Jiayue Pan and Ka Wai Pang, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Jiayue Pan or Ka Wai Pang, or changes in playing conditions (like weather) could all impact predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can drive price movements, as traders react to each other's actions and new information becomes available.