TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ha Yoon Son and Wanbing Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Wanbing Wang. This market will resolve to 'Wanbing Wang' if Wanbing Wang advances against Ha Yoon Son. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ha Yoon Son and Wanbing Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Wanbing Wang. This market will resolve to 'Wanbing Wang' if Wanbing Wang advances against Ha Yoon Son. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is the one favored by the majority of traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Ha Yoon Son and Wanbing Wang. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Significant volume spikes on Polymarket are also a key indicator of potential price movement, suggesting new information or a change in market perception is influencing trading activity.