TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Franchi and YiHan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Franchi' if Francesca Franchi advances against YiHan Li. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Francesca Franchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Franchi and YiHan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Franchi' if Francesca Franchi advances against YiHan Li. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Francesca Franchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Francesca Franchi and YiHan Li, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Maanshan tennis match has the potential to move this market.