TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 3:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Wan and Jasmine Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Wan' if Elsa Wan advances against Jasmine Li. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Li' if Jasmine Li advances against Elsa Wan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Wan and Jasmine Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Wan' if Elsa Wan advances against Jasmine Li. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Li' if Jasmine Li advances against Elsa Wan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price efficiently incorporates all available information and reflects the collective forecast of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Maanshan tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the Maanshan venue might also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale bets could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before Sep 28, 2026.