TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Yuhan Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Yuhan Wang. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Yuhan Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Yuhan Wang. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers in their assessment of the likely outcome of the Maanshan tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maanshan tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Maanshan tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. This market will settle to 100% for the winning player and 0% for the losing player, based on the official match results. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout proportional to their shareholding, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, potentially leading to a rapid adjustment in the probabilities reflected by this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of the Maanshan tennis match.