TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 22, 11:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Marianna Shikhanova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Marianna Shikhanova. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Shikhanova' if Marianna Shikhanova advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Marianna Shikhanova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Marianna Shikhanova. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Shikhanova' if Marianna Shikhanova advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. If there’s a significant difference between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for informed traders to exploit a mispricing. It's worth comparing to see how public opinion aligns with professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, changes in sentiment, and strategic trading activity, offering a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match, determining which player ultimately won. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.