TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 12:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aruzhan Sagandykova and Ha Yoon Son in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aruzhan Sagandykova' if Aruzhan Sagandykova advances against Ha Yoon Son. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Aruzhan Sagandykova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aruzhan Sagandykova and Ha Yoon Son in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aruzhan Sagandykova' if Aruzhan Sagandykova advances against Ha Yoon Son. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Aruzhan Sagandykova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously update their beliefs based on new information. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there's strong public interest and active trading in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between Aruzhan Sagandykova and Ha Yoon Son. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available tennis results and tournament data. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing the trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.