TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Albina Kakenova and Jiumeng Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Albina Kakenova' if Albina Kakenova advances against Jiumeng Liu. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Albina Kakenova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Albina Kakenova and Jiumeng Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Albina Kakenova' if Albina Kakenova advances against Jiumeng Liu. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Albina Kakenova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the crowd believes there’s an edge not yet priced in by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Kakenova vs Liu match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s likely result. The current market price indicates the collective prediction of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kakenova vs Liu match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either player’s preparation or recent performance are likely to cause movement in the market as traders adjust their predictions based on the new information.