TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 2:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Albina Kakenova and Jiayue Pan in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Albina Kakenova' if Albina Kakenova advances against Jiayue Pan. This market will resolve to 'Jiayue Pan' if Jiayue Pan advances against Albina Kakenova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Albina Kakenova and Jiayue Pan in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Albina Kakenova' if Albina Kakenova advances against Jiayue Pan. This market will resolve to 'Jiayue Pan' if Jiayue Pan advances against Albina Kakenova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting based on new information and changing sentiment. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between Albina Kakenova and Jiayue Pan. The platform will rely on widely available and accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact perceptions of their relative strength. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 5, 2026.