TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 1:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz and Maria Ines Nunez in the W15 Luján, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz' if Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz advances against Maria Ines Nunez. This market will resolve to 'Maria Ines Nunez' if Maria Ines Nunez advances against Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz and Maria Ines Nunez in the W15 Luján, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz' if Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz advances against Maria Ines Nunez. This market will resolve to 'Maria Ines Nunez' if Maria Ines Nunez advances against Sofia Magali Barreto Scholz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds capture real-time betting interest and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information flow. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader analytics and risk management, this market prices in crowd-sourced expectations, often showing sharper shifts around key match developments. Traders on Polymarket react quickly to news, form updates, and in-play momentum, which can make this market’s implied probability differ noticeably from standard sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling shares of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the percentage of shares held by users, showing the market’s implied probability. Liquidity and recent trading activity heavily influence price shifts, especially as the match approaches. This decentralized mechanism allows rapid adjustments based on new information or sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match determines the result, and the platform will update the market status accordingly based on official results and widely accepted sources. No further interpretation or judgment is needed beyond confirming the final score from reliable news outlets.
In the coming weeks, several factors could sway this market. Player injuries, changes in form, or crucial pre-match practice sessions may shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, if relevant to the surface, and any last-minute tournament rule updates could also create volatility. As Sep 8, 2026 approaches, near-term betting trends on Polymarket will amplify these signals, with large trades or volume spikes often preceding significant price movements. Keep an eye on headline news and performance metrics leading up to the match.