TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia E'Halli Obeid and Agustina Tarantola in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia E'Halli Obeid' if Mia E'Halli Obeid advances against Agustina Tarantola. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Mia E'Halli Obeid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia E'Halli Obeid and Agustina Tarantola in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia E'Halli Obeid' if Mia E'Halli Obeid advances against Agustina Tarantola. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Mia E'Halli Obeid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Luján tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price adjusts to reflect the latest consensus. The current price represents the market’s assessment of the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luján tennis match between Mia E'Halli Obeid and Agustina Tarantola. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available match results to determine which outcome resolves as true. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either player in other matches, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes trigger volatility, especially if they signal a change in overall market perception regarding the Luján tennis match.