TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciana Moyano and Guadalupe Rondinoni in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Moyano' if Luciana Moyano advances against Guadalupe Rondinoni. This market will resolve to 'Guadalupe Rondinoni' if Guadalupe Rondinoni advances against Luciana Moyano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciana Moyano and Guadalupe Rondinoni in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Moyano' if Luciana Moyano advances against Guadalupe Rondinoni. This market will resolve to 'Guadalupe Rondinoni' if Guadalupe Rondinoni advances against Luciana Moyano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives into their forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner of the Luján tennis match. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luján tennis match between Luciana Moyano and Guadalupe Rondinoni. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.