TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Mayra Arce Gonzalez in the W15 Luján, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:51AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Mayra Arce Gonzalez. This market will resolve to 'Mayra Arce Gonzalez' if Mayra Arce Gonzalez advances against Agustina Tarantola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Mayra Arce Gonzalez in the W15 Luján, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:51AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Mayra Arce Gonzalez. This market will resolve to 'Mayra Arce Gonzalez' if Mayra Arce Gonzalez advances against Agustina Tarantola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and available information. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader models or public betting trends, this market allows participants to react quickly to new data, potentially creating tighter or more divergent pricing depending on recent performance or injuries.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s chance reflects the aggregate sentiment of participants, updated continuously as new trades occur. Volume of $630 indicates the level of interest and liquidity, with price shifts responding to trading activity, news, or changes in player form. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures the market’s best estimate of who will win the match, based solely on the interactions of Polymarket users.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting the winner based on court results and eligible match parameters.
Key signals that could shift this market include recent match performances, player injuries or withdrawals, changes in tournament conditions such as weather, and any last-minute updates from coaches or official announcements. Each of these can dramatically alter trader expectations and therefore the odds on Polymarket as the event draws nearer.