TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Maria Florencia Urrutia in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Maria Florencia Urrutia. This market will resolve to 'Maria Florencia Urrutia' if Maria Florencia Urrutia advances against Agustina Tarantola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Maria Florencia Urrutia in the W15 Luján, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Maria Florencia Urrutia. This market will resolve to 'Maria Florencia Urrutia' if Maria Florencia Urrutia advances against Agustina Tarantola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their belief about the Luján tennis match’s outcome. Significant discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for value betting, as the market may have identified information not fully incorporated into traditional odds. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome of the Luján tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the market participants. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updating based on real-time demand and supply, providing a fluid and responsive assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luján tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Maria Florencia Urrutia, as determined by tournament organizers and widely reported by sports news outlets. The platform will verify the final score against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning share. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or strategy could also trigger significant trading volume. Any information perceived as impacting the probability of either player winning the Luján tennis match is likely to be reflected in the price of shares, creating opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on new developments.