TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarafina Olivia Hansen and Federica Sacco in the W15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarafina Olivia Hansen' if Sarafina Olivia Hansen advances against Federica Sacco. This market will resolve to 'Federica Sacco' if Federica Sacco advances against Sarafina Olivia Hansen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarafina Olivia Hansen and Federica Sacco in the W15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarafina Olivia Hansen' if Sarafina Olivia Hansen advances against Federica Sacco. This market will resolve to 'Federica Sacco' if Federica Sacco advances against Sarafina Olivia Hansen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though discrepancies can still arise due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Hurghada tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as correct predictions yield profits.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Hurghada tennis match between Sarafina Olivia Hansen and Federica Sacco will determine the resolution. The platform will rely on official results published by recognized tennis authorities to verify the outcome and settle the market. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not. It's important to monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather reports impacting the match schedule or surface conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches or any public statements from the players themselves might affect the perceived probabilities. Increased trading volume, driven by new information or strategic activity, is also likely to cause price fluctuations in this market.