TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vicky Van de Peer and Mia Horvit in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vicky Van de Peer' if Vicky Van de Peer advances against Mia Horvit. This market will resolve to 'Mia Horvit' if Mia Horvit advances against Vicky Van de Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vicky Van de Peer and Mia Horvit in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vicky Van de Peer' if Vicky Van de Peer advances against Mia Horvit. This market will resolve to 'Mia Horvit' if Mia Horvit advances against Vicky Van de Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as information is rapidly incorporated into the price. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Haren tennis match. The current market reflects the collective wisdom of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Haren tennis match between Vicky Van de Peer and Mia Horvit, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market before it resolves.