TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 12:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vicky Van de Peer and Charlotte Pikkaart in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vicky Van de Peer' if Vicky Van de Peer advances against Charlotte Pikkaart. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Pikkaart' if Charlotte Pikkaart advances against Vicky Van de Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vicky Van de Peer and Charlotte Pikkaart in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vicky Van de Peer' if Vicky Van de Peer advances against Charlotte Pikkaart. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Pikkaart' if Charlotte Pikkaart advances against Vicky Van de Peer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This can slightly skew the implied probabilities. In contrast, Polymarket odds are driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders, aiming to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on analyst predictions, this market allows for continuous adjustment as new information and opinions emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Haren tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the W15 Haren tennis match between Vicky Van de Peer and Charlotte Pikkaart will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established tennis authorities and publicly available match data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also impact perceptions of player advantage. Furthermore, changes in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Haren tennis match has the potential to move this market.