TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jade Groen and Lisa Claeys in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jade Groen' if Jade Groen advances against Lisa Claeys. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Claeys' if Lisa Claeys advances against Jade Groen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jade Groen and Lisa Claeys in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jade Groen' if Jade Groen advances against Lisa Claeys. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Claeys' if Lisa Claeys advances against Jade Groen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Jade Groen vs Lisa Claeys match. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust based on demand.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jade Groen vs Lisa Claeys match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s guidelines, but the initial reported outcome will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Jade Groen or Lisa Claeys could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact predictions. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market’s inherent wisdom of the crowd often filters out noise. Any significant development related to the match will likely be reflected in trading volume and price adjustments.