TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Angelina Wirges and Lian Tran in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angelina Wirges' if Angelina Wirges advances against Lian Tran. This market will resolve to 'Lian Tran' if Lian Tran advances against Angelina Wirges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Angelina Wirges and Lian Tran in the W15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angelina Wirges' if Angelina Wirges advances against Lian Tran. This market will resolve to 'Lian Tran' if Lian Tran advances against Angelina Wirges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently or that one venue has a more efficient pricing mechanism. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wirges vs Tran match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants might indicate new information or a change in market perception, potentially causing a shift in the odds before the Sep 10, 2026 resolution.