TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Wrobel and Weronika Cialkowska in the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Wrobel' if Maja Wrobel advances against Weronika Cialkowska. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Cialkowska' if Weronika Cialkowska advances against Maja Wrobel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Wrobel and Weronika Cialkowska in the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Wrobel' if Maja Wrobel advances against Weronika Cialkowska. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Cialkowska' if Weronika Cialkowska advances against Maja Wrobel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each player.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Wrobel vs Cialkowska match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could cause the market to move. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.