TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Sharabura and Kateryna Lazarenko in the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Sharabura' if Kate Sharabura advances against Kateryna Lazarenko. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Lazarenko' if Kateryna Lazarenko advances against Kate Sharabura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Sharabura and Kateryna Lazarenko in the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Sharabura' if Kate Sharabura advances against Kateryna Lazarenko. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Lazarenko' if Kateryna Lazarenko advances against Kate Sharabura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in player form, influencing the pricing of this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Kate Sharabura will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing her victory will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders engaging with this market.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki tennis match between Kate Sharabura and Kateryna Lazarenko. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results and standings, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome for this market. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in other matches could shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts for Grodzisk Mazowiecki could also play a role. Significant shifts in betting volume, driven by new information or influential traders, are also likely to move the odds, impacting the pricing of this market as the event approaches.